Posts Tagged ‘nCoV2019’
A.I. Versus the Coronavirus – The New York Times
April 7, 2020Is the Coronavirus as Deadly as They Say? – WSJ
April 5, 2020Interesting analysis, illustrating selection bias
QT:{{”
On or around Jan. 31, countries sent planes to evacuate citizens from Wuhan, China. When those planes landed, the passengers were tested for Covid-19 and quarantined. After 14 days, the percentage who tested positive was 0.9%. If this was the prevalence in the greater Wuhan area on Jan. 31, then, with a population of about 20 million, greater Wuhan had 178,000 infections, about 30-fold more than the number of reported cases. The fatality rate, then, would be at least 10-fold lower than estimates based on reported cases.
…
The best (albeit very weak) evidence in the U.S. comes from the National Basketball Association. Between March 11 and 19, a
substantial number of NBA players and teams received testing. By March 19, 10 out of 450 rostered players were positive. Since not everyone was tested, that represents a lower bound on the prevalence of 2.2%. T… But if we extend that lower-bound assumption to cities with NBA teams (population 45 million), we get at least 990,000 infections in the U.S. …These numbers imply a fatality rate from Covid-19 orders of magnitude smaller than it appears.
“}}
https://www.wsj.com/articles/is-the-coronavirus-as-deadly-as-they-say-11585088464
The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak
April 1, 2020https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/03/05/science.aba9757
The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak
Matteo Chinazzi1, Jessica T. Davis1, Marco Ajelli2, Corrado
Gioannini3, Maria Litvinova3, Stefano Merler2, Ana Pastore y Piontti1, Kunpeng Mu1, Luca Rossi3, Kaiyuan Sun4, Cécile Viboud4, Xinyue Xiong1, Hongjie Yu5, M. Elizabeth Halloran6,7, Ira M. Longini Jr.8,*, Alessandro Vespignani1,3,*
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/13/science/coronavirus-social-networks-data.html
How Will the Coronavirus End? – The Atlantic
March 30, 2020Lost Sense of Smell May Be Peculiar Clue to Coronavirus Infection – The New York Times
March 29, 2020This is good
March 29, 2020Facts (and Myths) About Boosting Your Immune System – WSJ
March 29, 2020Highlights yogurt & vitamin D!
https://www.wsj.com/articles/facts-and-myths-about-boosting-your-immune-system-11584050588
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