Archive for the '–' Category
A.I. Versus the Coronavirus – The New York Times
April 7, 2020Boris Johnson Hospitalized as Queen Urges British Resolve in Face of Epidemic – The New York Times
April 5, 2020Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Daily Data Summary
April 5, 2020https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/imm/covid-19-daily-data-summary-deaths-04042020-1.pdf
Useful resource.
Clearly indicates characteristics of mortality:
M>F, old>young & pre-existing condition v healthy
Also: https://twitter.com/MLevitt_NP2013/status/1246516101976133632
Is the Coronavirus as Deadly as They Say? – WSJ
April 5, 2020Interesting analysis, illustrating selection bias
QT:{{”
On or around Jan. 31, countries sent planes to evacuate citizens from Wuhan, China. When those planes landed, the passengers were tested for Covid-19 and quarantined. After 14 days, the percentage who tested positive was 0.9%. If this was the prevalence in the greater Wuhan area on Jan. 31, then, with a population of about 20 million, greater Wuhan had 178,000 infections, about 30-fold more than the number of reported cases. The fatality rate, then, would be at least 10-fold lower than estimates based on reported cases.
…
The best (albeit very weak) evidence in the U.S. comes from the National Basketball Association. Between March 11 and 19, a
substantial number of NBA players and teams received testing. By March 19, 10 out of 450 rostered players were positive. Since not everyone was tested, that represents a lower bound on the prevalence of 2.2%. T… But if we extend that lower-bound assumption to cities with NBA teams (population 45 million), we get at least 990,000 infections in the U.S. …These numbers imply a fatality rate from Covid-19 orders of magnitude smaller than it appears.
“}}
https://www.wsj.com/articles/is-the-coronavirus-as-deadly-as-they-say-11585088464
Secondary_appt Bruce Schneier: Security and Privacy Implications of Zoom
April 4, 2020Bruce Schneier on Zoom:
https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2020/04/security_and_pr_1.html